I unfortunately have to go on a business trip and will be off the blog on election night, so I will make my final prediction. Vote share 36% Con 29% LD 27% Lab. Seats Con 289 Lab 209 LD 117 SNP 12 PC 4 UKIP 1 IND 1 SF 3 SDLP 5 UUP 2 DUP 8. So what do you think?
I think you underestimate the Conservative share of the vote. The UK is crying out for decent change and the Conservatives can deliver that.
ReplyDeleteThe Conservatives will get 38%, Labour will second with 29% and the Lib Dems (as shown by recent polls) will be well behind at 25% barely beating their 2005 result. I will not predict seats won because that is very tricky. At the last election the Conservatives could have had 10 more seats for about 2000 more votes since they lost some seats by under 100 votes. In percentage terms irrelevant but they matter.
You results would mean a Lib/Lab coalition would not have a majority.
What a dull election night- it was as dull as 1992. Waiting for yonks for a definitive set of results was pure torment. What cheered me up though was the Libbies lamentable performance. That's the trouble with the Libbies- they think they are more popular than they actually are. When the Libbies became the 4th party in the Scots Parly they took a hissy-fit and refused to join a coalition with Scotland's no1 24 carat bulls*itter (Alex Salmond) on a 'priniciple'(ie: refusing to give the people a chance to vote on an independence referendum). At least Nick Clegg has been more grown up about the situation we, in the UK, are in now ( i wonder whether some his 'beardie-wierdie' activists and some of his MP's will be...).
ReplyDeleteI am glad my prediction was not far off.
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