Saturday, April 17, 2010
Has the Cameron project failed?
Much has been made on how Cameron could de-toxify the Tory brand. That he could drive the Tories to a massive majority. He would be for the Conservaitve party what Tony Blair was for the Labour Party. And he is at about 33%. Nearly the same as Michael Howard had in 2005. I doubt that is what the Tories were buying when David Cameron was elected leader. Gains are going to be made off the fall of the Labour vote, but they could also lose seats to the surging Liberal Democrats. If he cannot deliver government to the Conservative party, he will be delivered to the back benches. The debates are now irrelevant unless Cameron can hit Clegg. If not the Cameron project may all be for not
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I would not say the project has failed. The Tories in some polls (not all) are back at their 31-33% base vote. However there are 2+ weeks left and the Lib Dems will fall in votes once the public are more aware of Lib Dem policies. Remember only 25% of the voting population saw a 90 minute debate (Clegg on for 30 minutes). So the vast majority have no more idea what the Lib Dems would do know than they did 1 week ago. Cameroon will increase the Try share of the vote above Michael Howards performance in 2005. Mark my words.
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